Tony Abbott's budget reply " I can do better"

Abbott’s reply to Swan: “I can do better.”

By GDL

Tony Abbott, the opposition leader, in his budget reply speech last night, conceded that he will keep all the savings, the $43 billion, that Labor announced on Tuesday. Vey smart move as the dirty job has already been done for him. He thus will not have to confront the anger of those families, who were expecting the $5,000 baby bonus, as Labor had already coped it. However both sides must be applauded for scaping this policy which was universal meaning that even very rich benefitted from it. Peter Costello was right at the time but big time wrong today.
Tony Abbott declared that all the compensations, (except the school kids bonus), as well as all the pensions increases will be maintained. While the pensioners are laughing, those on benefits, e.g. the news starts, will be deprived of the additional $210 that Labor allowed them. Workers will also be deprived of an increase of their superannuation and those on low salaries will not receive the co-contributions. This measure was vigorously criticised by Labor as an attack on workers welfare. On average a worker will missed out on two years’ employer contributions of around $4,000 in his retirement benefits.
On the other hand, big business must be celebrating this morning because they will not have to pay the mineral resources rent tax, no carbon tax and no additional employer superannuation contributions. It did not take long for Gina Reinhart to come on TV and defend the mining industry. She said that mining is not an ATM which everybody can access. What a load of crap! Can anyone access an ATM? Is anyone apart from her and her mates benefitting from the billions accumulated by the mining sector? Gina Reinhart is the richest woman in the world and she becomes rich by exploiting our land. Yes this land that she is mining belongs to all Australians. Why then the boom has benefitted to only a few? The way the wealth of a country is distributed is by taxing the rich and giving to the poor, especially when that money comes form our land. This is how a welfare state works isn't it ?
Coming back to Tony Abbott, he maintains that he will scrap the mining tax to allow for more investment, jobs and growth, but the liberals will allow more skilled workers to come in the country with the 457 visa and therefore depriving Australians the chance of getting employment in the mining sector. Similarly investment in the mining sector comes from overseas and most of the profits go back.
Tony did not mention how he would pay for his generous paid parental leave scheme (which is dividing members of the coalition) nor did he address other structural problems in the budget. If Wayne Swans got the forecast wrong for one year, his forward revenue estimates cannot not be trusted. However it seems that Tony Abbott is relying on the same forward estimates, less the carbon tax and the mining tax, for a surplus in four years' time.
Tony Abbott tried to reassure the people of Australia, and particularly the voters, that they have nothing to fear, that the average family will be better off by $600 a year under a government he leads. He will maintain the tax free threshold of $18,000 implemented by Labor but promised to review the whole tax system as started by Ken Henry. There will also be a white paper on the relations between states and Federal governments, the COAG.
There will be no false promises or lame excuse for getting policies wrong. He promised accountability and a responsible government. While applauding and supporting fully the National Disability Insurance Scheme, his government will not support the Gonski School reforms but instead will review the school administration giving more leverage to the school principals.
Mr Abbott was very measured in his speech. He strived to look “prime-ministerial”. He was, to some extent nervous, and a bit too contained. He looks to have been put in a straight jacket, meaning that he had to be cautious and stick to his text for fear of going astray and getting into trouble like in the past.
Has he done enough to convince the voters that he will be a good prime minister? Has he been able to alleviate all the fears that some people still have towards him personally? The ides of September is not far. Can’t wait!

Wayne Swan's budget

Wayne Swan’s budget, Chronique d’une catastrophe  attendue

by GDL 

Last year the opposition accused Treasurer Wayne Swan of cooking the books and this year they (particularly Joe Hockey) asked for an honest budget.

Honest indeed it was, and surprisingly the most right wing newspaper in Sydney front page title, this morning, was “Wayne Swan came clean.”

Indeed the Treasurer came clean in showing us the state of the national finance. We are in deep shit. We are in debt and we have to borrow and pay interest.

This year the budget was $19.4 billion in deficit and next year it will be $18 billion. These figures demonstrate how the Labor government has mismanaged the people’s money. Wayne Swan was indeed honest in showing, how they have spent the money coming from our sweat and blood, our taxes. Wayne told us how they have borrowed on our behalf to pay for expenses we never allowed them and never approved.   Wayne can say that they were elected to govern and they have done what is in the best interest of the country and of the citizens. But putting a mortgage on the heads of 21 millions Australians is surely not effective management of the finances. Very bluntly Wayne and Julia confirmed that they cannot be trusted to handle our money and our future. They have a spending problem, they spend money they do not have and have no shame in saying that they did the right thing to keep jobs and growth. How? Please explain. Is it by spending more than we can afford! The stimulus package during the GFC was right but we have passed this difficult time and it was time to be more careful and save for the future. Gouverner c’est prevoir, n'est ce pas ?

Wayne Swan told us that the economy is strong and we are the envy of the world, but at the same time told us that because of the strong dollar and the high price of commodities, the MRRT did not collect they money they we expecting. The same apply to the carbon tax. This is a big admission that their predictions were wrong.

Still worse, they spend the money that did not arrive and distributed it around through compensations of various sorts, and spending some 3.2 billion on the asylum seekers. 

Even though the MRRT did not collect the billions expected, the government’s revenue increased last year by seven percent which is equivalent to $70 billion.

The fact that the budget was $19.4 billions means that they have spent more than $89 billion or $19.4 billion more than the income. This is outrageous.

It has become a tradition in the Labor party to get things wrong. Since they came to power in 2007, there has been but problems and everything they touched turned to lead, from the School revolution program, the pink bat, the live cattle ban, the carbon tax, the media law, the broadband, and their surrender to the Greens.

Coming back to Wayne Swan, he ridiculed himself all though last year promising a surplus budget this year by 1.1 billion. Last night he dared talked about surplus again, when the FMI has been saying that Australian governments (Federal and States) will for years to come be in red.                                   Plus ridicule que ca tu meurs !

Again his surplus predictions for 2016 are built on the revenues from the MRRT and Carbon Tax while he already committed, in the forward estimates, some 9.8 billion to Gonski,  14.3 billion to the NDIS and 24 billion for the infrastructure.  This is again luring us on money that is still in the clouds !!!

Wayne and the Labor party have skilfully cornered the opposition into these two policies which are popular among the nation. The Labour party might not be there to implement these policies but Labor will beat their chest saying that these were our policies. Poor Tony Abbott will have no alternative but to implement these policies. Where will he find the money is the question.

Let’s wait for the budget reply from the opposition.   

Federal Budget 2013-2014

What to expect from an ailing party and a government in exit?

Like every political analyst,  I am looking forward to the budget night on Tuesday 14th May 2013.
Even though the government revenues increased during this financial year, we are heading to a deficit budget of around $17 billion.
Wayne Swan, Julia Gillard and Penny Wong have already conceded that they misinterpreted the economic predictions. When every credible economist of Australia were seeing no signs of a surplus budget, the trio were claiming all through last year that " the government will deliver a surplus as promised."
Any journalist and analyst is not surprised that the Australian Labor Party has problems managing the finances of the nation. They are too good at spending money which is not theirs and spend money that they do not have. Labor is known to be a government of multiple deficit budgets.
Wayne Swan does not stop saying that Australia's economy is strong and that we are the best in the western world and the OECD countries. The Treasurer also claims that " We got the fundamentals right". Who is "we" ? The business world or the government ? Government does not manage the economy. It is the private sector which creates growth and wealth in the country with the labour and brains they hire from workers.
Wayne Swan is trying to imply that the economy is strong because of the government fiscal and monetary policies and the incentives that they give business to flourish. How far that is true is disputable in view of the industrial laws they put in place since coming to office. If the big ones in the mining and resources sectors are doing very well, small and medium business are coping it sweet.
Wayne Swan and his mates have created a two speed economy in Australia. Everyone knows how many small business have closed shops and how the farmers are doing it tough with the high Australian dollar, not to mention the rising cost of living.
We also know that the Mineral Resource Rent tax did not bring in the billions the government was expecting because of the diminishing exports in that sector, again due to the high dollar.
The Labor government counted their chickens before they are hatched just as they got it wrong on the carbon trading price which they put for $29 a ton and while it is now around $6 in Europe. It  may go even lower when we moved to an Emission Trading Scheme in 2015. Note that the carbon price is already align to the European market.
Despite the lack of revenues, Labor continues to spend  and promise. The Gonski reform and the    NDIS will require billions and billions of dollars. Where will the money come from ? We also just heard about a second airport for Sydney which will cost more billions.While all these policies are good for the country, the question is  who will food the bill and from which sources ?
The revenues of the budget come from taxes, direct or indirect, i.e. from the people, the workers and businesses. When the Labor government borrows money to fund the deficit and its projects, it is like contracting a mortgage, on behalf of the nation. So the 17 billions that government will borrow or owes will not be refunded by Julia or Wayne Swan but by you and me, by the working people of Australia.
So do not hold your breath for any good news from the budget, be rather prepared to tighten your belt and think rather that we are a nation in debt. In the meantime  Gina Reinhart, Clive Palmer and Andrew Forest are becoming richer and richer.
Rendez vous demain soir avec la catastrophe.
GDL.

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Australian politics with GDL

The Australian Labor Party in or out of crisis ?

Filed under Uncategorized by georgydelamare on 22-03-2013

Analysis of GDL
The Labor Party was in damage control during the whole of Thursday 21t March 2013. Never had the party been in so much turmoil.
The crisis was the consequence of the party trailing badly in the polls since the last elections. The Labor party hanged on to power with the help of the Greens and the Independents, and since then has been struggling as a minority government.
A series of blunders and failed promises caused many voters to turn their back on labor. Then came the leadership issue with Kevin Rudd and his supporters wanting to take their revenge using the same method that Julia Gillard used.
If both Julia and Kevin faced the same circumstances, i.e the bad polls, the difference is that Kevin Rudd never had the numbers to top up Julia. Twice he failed and would not give it a third go. He was wise in not challenging because that would have put him in a ridiculous position.
By not challenging he disappointed many of his supporters, who firmly believe that Labor cannot win the oncoming elections with Julia as leader, but that with Kevin they a least have a chance.
The failed coup mounted by Simon Crean resulted in collateral damages with many of the Rudd supporters resigning from their positions. It is now left for Julia not only to reshuffle his cabinet,  on but to put on the front bench the best talents who will give a new image to the government. It must be  the best front runners for the looming electoral battle of 14 September.                                       Was this crisis a blessing in disguise ? Yes as it allowed Julia's government to rethink the way it was operating, be more engaged with the electorate, stop doing blunders, getting into controversies,( the latest one being the reform media laws) and start doing the right thing by the people of Australia.
It's time for the Labor party to rethink and redesign effective strategies of how they can win the next elections. If for many it is an uphill battle or its is too late, at least they can minimise the damage and not face oblivion at the next elections.
Six more months to go, to confirm whether the Coalition has already won the war or that they only won some battles.
GDL.

Cancer can be prevented

LATEST CANCER INFORMATION
from Johns Hopkins

AFTER YEARS OF TELLING PEOPLE CHEMOTHERAPY IS THE ONLY WAY TO TRY AND ELIMINATE CANCER, JOHNS HOPKINS IS FINALLY S...TARTING TO TELL YOU THERE IS AN ALTERNATIVE WAY …


1. Every person has cancer cells in the body. These cancer cells do not show up in the standard tests until they have multiplied to a few billion. When doctors tell cancer patients that there are no more cancer cells in their bodies after treatment, it just means the tests are unable to detect the cancer cells because they have not reached the detectable size.

2. Cancer cells occur between 6 to more than 10 times in a person's lifetime.

3. When the person's immune system is strong the cancer cells will be destroyed and prevented from multiplying and forming tumors.

4. When a person has cancer it indicates the person has multiple nutritional deficiencies. These could be due to genetic, environmental, food and lifestyle factors.

5. To overcome the multiple nutritional deficiencies, changing diet and including supplements will strengthen the immune system.

6. Chemotherapy involves poisoning the rapidly-growing cancer cells and also destroys rapidly-growing healthy cells in the bone marrow, gastro-intestinal tract etc, and can cause organ damage, like liver, kidneys, heart, lungs etc.

7. Radiation while destroying cancer cells also burns, scars and damages healthy cells, tissues and organs.

8. Initial treatment with chemotherapy and radiation will often reduce tumor size. However prolonged use of chemotherapy and radiation do not result in more tumor destruction.

9. When the body has too much toxic burden from chemotherapy and radiation the immune system is either compromised or destroyed, hence the person can succumb to various kinds of infections and complications.

10. Chemotherapy and radiation can cause cancer cells to mutate and become resistant and difficult to destroy. Surgery can also cause cancer cells to spread to other sites.


11. An effective way to battle cancer is to STARVE the cancer cells by not feeding it with foods it needs to multiple.

What cancer cells feed on:

a. Sugar is a cancer-feeder. By cutting off sugar it cuts off one important food supply to the cancer cells. Note: Sugar substitutes like NutraSweet, Equal, Spoonful, etc are made with Aspartame and it is harmful. A better natural substitute would be Manuka honey or molasses but only in very small amounts. Table salt has a chemical added to make it white in colour. Better alternative is Bragg's aminos or sea salt.


b. Milk causes the body to produce mucus, especially in the gastro-intestinal tract. Cancer feeds on mucus. By cutting off milk and substituting with unsweetened soy milk, cancer cells will starved.

c. Cancer cells thrive in an acid environment. A meat-based diet is acidic and it is best to eat fish, and a little chicken rather than beef or pork. Meat also contains livestock antibiotics, growth hormones and parasites, which are all harmful, especially to people with cancer.

d. A diet made of 80% fresh vegetables and juice, whole grains, seeds, nuts and a little fruits help put the body into an alkaline environment. About 20% can be from cooked food including beans. Fresh vegetable juices provide live enzymes that are easily absorbed and reach down to cellular levels within 15 minutes t o nourish and enhance growth of healthy cells.

To obtain live enzymes for building healthy cells try and drink fresh vegetable juice (most vegetables including bean sprouts) and eat some raw vegetables 2 or 3 times a day. Enzymes are destroyed at temperatures of 104 degrees F (40 degrees C).

e. Avoid coffee, tea, and chocolate, which have high caffeine. Green tea is a better alternative and has cancer-fighting properties. Water--best to drink purified water, or filtered, to avoid known toxins and heavy metals in tap water. Distilled water is acidic, avoid it.

12. Meat protein is difficult to digest and requires a lot of digestive enzymes. Undigested meat remaining in the intestines will become putrified and leads to more toxic buildup.

13. Cancer cell walls have a tough protein covering. By refraining from or eating less meat it frees more enzymes to attack the protein walls of cancer cells and allows the body's killer cells to destroy the cancer cells.

14. Some supplements build up the immune system (IP6, Flor-ssence, Essiac, anti-oxidants, vitamins, minerals, EFAs etc.) to enable the body's own killer cells to destroy cancer cells. Other supplements like vitamin E are known to cause apoptosis, or programmed cell death, the body's normal method of disposing of damaged, unwanted, or unneeded cells.

15. Cancer is a disease of the mind, body, and spirit. A proactive and positive spirit will help the cancer warrior be a survivor.

Anger, unforgiving and bitterness put the body into a stressful and acidic environment. Learn to have a loving and forgiving spirit. Learn to relax and enjoy life.

16. Cancer cells cannot thrive in an oxygenated environment. Exercising daily, and deep breathing help to get more oxygen down to the cellular level. Oxygen therapy is another means employed to destroy cancer cells.

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